Leo's WBEC

[Roger Brown]

Geschrieben von: / Posted by: Roger Brown at 09 January 2004 22:33:03:

Deep Sjeng has created that vital couple of degrees of separation between itself and the pack in pursuit...
Is it all over?
This is good stuff!
Later.

[Uri Blass]

Geschrieben von: / Posted by: Uri Blass at 09 January 2004 22:59:26:
Als Antwort auf: / In reply to: Leo's WBEC geschrieben von: / posted by: Roger Brown at 09 January 2004 22:33:03:

Deep Sjeng has created that vital couple of degrees of separation between itself and the pack in pursuit...
Is it all over?
This is good stuff!
Later.

No
It is not over.
I guess it is something like
Deep Sjeng 60% to win
The king 20% to win
Ruffian 12% to win
Smarthink 5% to win
rest 3% to win
If the king wins the remaining games Deep Sjeng will need almost 100% for first place.
Uri

[Roger Brown]

Geschrieben von: / Posted by: Roger Brown at 10 January 2004 00:00:17:
Als Antwort auf: / In reply to: Re: Leo's WBEC geschrieben von: / posted by: Uri Blass at 09 January 2004 22:59:26:

[Norm Pollock]

Geschrieben von: / Posted by: Norm Pollock at 10 January 2004 01:18:13:
Als Antwort auf: / In reply to: Re: Leo's WBEC geschrieben von: / posted by: Uri Blass at 09 January 2004 22:59:26:

Deep Sjeng has created that vital couple of degrees of separation between itself and the pack in pursuit...
Is it all over?
This is good stuff!
Later.

No
It is not over.
I guess it is something like
Deep Sjeng 60% to win
The king 20% to win
Ruffian 12% to win
Smarthink 5% to win
rest 3% to win
If the king wins the remaining games Deep Sjeng will need almost 100% for first place.
Uri

Maybe an engine gets disqualified for doping?

[Dann Corbit]

Geschrieben von: / Posted by: Dann Corbit at 10 January 2004 04:13:12:
Als Antwort auf: / In reply to: Re: Leo's WBEC geschrieben von: / posted by: Uri Blass at 09 January 2004 22:59:26:

Deep Sjeng has created that vital couple of degrees of separation between itself and the pack in pursuit...
Is it all over?
This is good stuff!
Later.

No
It is not over.
I guess it is something like
Deep Sjeng 60% to win
The king 20% to win
Ruffian 12% to win
Smarthink 5% to win
rest 3% to win
If the king wins the remaining games Deep Sjeng will need almost 100% for first place.

68 games total
12 points remain for DeepSjeng for minimum of 38.5 and maximum of 50.5
16 points remain for The King for minimum of 33.5 and maximum of 49.5
16 points remain for Ruffian for minimum of 32.0 and maximum of 48.0
16 points remain for SmarThink for minimum of 31.5 and maximum of 47.5
20 points remain for Gandalf for minimum of 26.5 and maximum of 46.5
16 points remain for Aristarch for minimum of 29.0 and maximum of 45.0
16 points remain for GreenLightChess for minimum of 28.5 and maximum of 44.5
No other program has any sort of realistic chance at the title.
The easiest paths are:
DeepSjeng
Ruffian
SmarThink
I am estimating (using a crude average of surrounding games) that DeepSjeng will score 9 points in the remaining 12 games. That will leave a score of 47.5.
If that estimate is correct, then to win:
The King would have to score 14/16 = 87.5%

Ruffian would have to score 15.5/16 = 97%
SmarThink would have to score 16/16 = 100%
So if DeepSjeng does score 75% of the remaining points, the others will have a real struggle. And for the programs below SmarThink, they will have to hope for a real DeepSjeng flop to have any chances.



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